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Drones, Digital Sky, Roundtables & Public Goods

This is a guest post by Dewang Gala and Vishal Pardeshi (Pigeon Innovative).

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAV’s)/ Drones have been making a buzz all over the world. Drones in the past have been looked at as a threat in various countries. The public perception towards drones has been very different in the past and has been changing over the past few years when people have been able to see the real benefits that this technology can offer. However, there is a need for a regulatory body to avoid the misuse of drones.

India is one of the key markets where the future growth of drone technologies is likely to emerge. India’s drone market expected to grow $885.7 mn and drones market in the world will reach $16.1 billion by 2021. Thus this market will create lots of employment opportunities and help our nation’s economy grow. Just like how the Information technology sector flourished in India increasing its contribution to the Indian GDP from 1.2% in 1998 to 7.7% in 2017, the Indian drone industry shows a similar promise.

How can drones contribute to the public good in India?

Previously, drones were an area of interest for defense sector only, but in past decade drones have been able to come into the public and commercial space where they have been able to take high definition photos, map a large area in a short time, calculate crop health, spray pesticides, inspect man-made structure which would be difficult or unsafe while doing it traditionally, play a crucial role during natural calamities to save lives, deliver goods and medicines.

Countries like Rwanda have allowed a full network of drones in their airspace which has helped save lives with the delivery of medical supplies. The company operating there initially had a huge challenge to convince people that the drones were meant for good and the company did not have the intention to spy on them. Once the people of Rwanda saw that these drones could save lives, a whole network of drones emerged across the country. Imagine the impact it would create across different industries in India if we accept and embrace this technology and have regulations in place for its safe usage. The upsurge of new drone-based innovative companies is a positive sign of India heading towards becoming a global leader in this field.

India is a high potential market, still entrepreneurs and businessman in this sector experience oblivion. This is because a few years back drones were completely banned in India as a perceived threat and now steps have been taken in Drone regulation 1.0 to get the industry moving forward. Though there are many roadblocks for the regulations to be in full force as it tries to bring together multiple agencies, the good part of it is that government understands that they lack the necessary skills set to create regulation and is willing to take help from the existing players to contribute in making the regulation more robust and user friendly.

What can be the public goods in the drone industry and why do we need them?

Paul A Samuelson is usually credited as the first economist to develop the theory of public goods. But what exactly is public goods?
A good which is:

  • Non-excludable – it is costly or impossible for one user to exclude others from using a good.
  • Non-rivalrous – when one person uses a good, it does not prevent others from using it.
  • Indivisible – one cannot divide public goods for personal use only.

Traffic lights, roads, street lights, etc. are examples of public goods. With the seamless possibilities that drones can offer, it makes sense to have public goods defined for this sector.

Imagine a future where airspace is accessible to everyone, where we have defined drone ports and air corridors which will allow smooth and safe operation of the drones. A lot of industries can benefit from it. Creating public goods will also allow more people to participate in the system thus increasing the size of the pie. If everybody in the system starts feeling comfortable with the operation of drones in the open skies then we could fundamentally transform the way we do things.

Who should be responsible for creating public goods?

Although classical economic theory suggests public goods will not be provided by a free market. But in a market like India, where the market is neither free nor regulatory, groups of individuals or organization can come together to voluntarily help government bodies to provide public goods in this market. For example, DigitalSky platform is a software initiative developed by the joint effort of iSPIRT and the government, working towards creating an online platform for registration of drones and obtaining permission for its operation, with a vision of making it paperless and presence-less.

There is tremendous scope for innovation and improvement in this sector. In the case of public goods, no firms will find it profitable to produce these goods because they can be enjoyed for free once they are provided and they cannot prevent this from happening. To provide these goods then, we either rely on governments or private organizations which volunteer to work on these issues.

The growth in India’s drone market would be primarily driven by the proactive initiative of existing players who will lay the foundation of this market in India. Thus DICE and iSPIRT have taken an initiative and are spreading awareness through round table sessions.

Round table sessions organized by DICE and iSPIRT serve as a platform where drone based entrepreneurs come together and think towards growing this industry by creating a model that benefits everyone in the system. The aim is to create a win-win situation in B2B and B2G.

The round table primarily serves two purposes:

  1. To enable strategic partnerships between companies and encouraging companies to contribute to public goods.
  2. Bridging the gap between the companies and the government.

Behavioral economics suggests that individuals can have motivations other than just money.

For example, People may volunteer to contribute to local flood defenses out of a sense of civic pride, peer pressure or genuine altruism.

Even if we have a narrow self-interest point of view we have to understand that voluntarily helping government bodies in tackling and solving the issues in drone rules and regulation will in turn help this market to flourish. And companies or individual contributors will have an underlying first mover advantage. So it’s important to act proactively to help the government to create regulation on your futuristic business model. It’s our job to demonstrate government that business can be done safely with a minimum amount of agreeable risk. Working together will not only accelerate the pace at which the regulations are implemented but also ensure that India takes away a big slice of the $100bn drone market. [5]

How does the future look like?

If you have ever seen the cartoon “The Jetsons” from the 1990’s you can already imagine what the future could look like. We are in an era where we can clearly automation and AI takes over mundane and laborious tasks at an exponential rate. The computers around us today are becoming powerful with each day. It can be witnessed that today it has become much easier to survive and it isn’t hard to survive as it used to be back in the days. We are not too far from the singularity where machine intelligence surpasses human intelligence. Thus we should have an environment where we can ensure that the technology is exploratory and exploitation is avoided.

Technology doesn’t happen on its own, people work together to make those imaginations/dreams a reality. We can already see Proof of concept (POC) of drone deliveries, drone taxis, and other futuristic applications. Who knows what else could we have with us in the next decade. Imagine a future where you would own your own personalised autonomous flying vehicle which takes you to your desired place with just the press of a button. You would have mid-air fueling stations which would enable you to drive without having ever to touch the land. Millions of smaller sized drones would be able to deliver products within minutes just like the internet today delivers information. Drones would become smaller and smaller and nanotechnology will enable us to overcome the limitations we see in drones today. Many other applications will rise up as we start working towards.

If you have any suggestions/solutions/ideas on how the system can be made better you can definitely become a part of iSPIRT / DICE India and write to us on [email protected] or [email protected] and also become a part of the round table.

 

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What lies beyond the horizon: Digital Sky & the future of drones in India

Drones have been around for a long time, going back as far as World War II. For most of their history, they were considered part of the military arsenal and developed and deployed almost exclusively by the military.

However, the past decade has seen a tremendous amount of research and development in the area of using drones for civilian purposes. This has led industry experts to predict that drones will be disrupting some of the mainstay industries of the global economy such as logistics, transportation, mining, construction and agriculture to name a few. Analysts estimate a $100 billion market opportunity for drones in the coming few years  [1]. In spite of the overwhelming evidence in favour of the value created by drones, it has taken quite a few years for the drone industry to take off in a commercial sense globally.

The main reason for this has been the regulatory challenges around what is allowed to fly in the air and where is it allowed to fly. A common theme around the world is the unconventional challenges that old governmental structures have to face as they try to understand and regulate new technologies. Hence the default approach so far for governments has been reactionary caution as they try to control what are, essentially, flying robots in the sky.

However, with electronic costs coming down, the hardware becoming more accessible and the software interpreting data becomes more powerful a number of humanitarian, civilian and industrial application have emerged and as governments across the world are realizing the potential of drones, we are starting to see the first version of regulations being drafted and adopted across the globe.[2]

Closer home India has a relatively adverse approach to drones or more lackadaisical rather. [3]

But as India continues to drive to become a more technology-oriented economy the role of drones in the worlds fastest growing economy and the potential benefits it can bring are hard to ignore.[4]

However, India’s approach to drone regulations cannot be that of other major economies that have the luxury of friendly neighbours and a large network of monitoring apparatus, India has had to take an approach that has to be novel and robust. Something that balances the security landscape while also being designed to allow maximum utilization of the potential that drones offer. Out of this need to both regulate secure how and where a drone can fly and keep multi-ministerial stakeholder interests accounted for was born the Digital Sky, India’s foundational framework for all things drones.

What is the Digital Sky and how does it work?

What the Digital Sky accomplishes beautifully is to fill the institutional void that needs to be collectively fulfilled by so many institutions and make it easier for the industry and consumers to interface with the government legally through one platform. Permission to fly drone no longer requires a 90-day intimation with an arbitrary number of NOCs to be approved by umpteen number of ministerial bodies at the central and federal level. The industry and the public now know one place to interact with in order to register their drone, get recognised as a certified operator and apply for permissions and all concerned government agencies ensure their overarching interests do not interfere with the large-scale adoption of drones.  

There are crucial components required for the Digital Sky concept to work, the most central being that drone operators should not be able to fly drones if they are not approved by the government. To accomplish this the Drone 1.0 regulations revolve around the concept of No-Permission-No-Takeoff (NPNT).

Our maven Tanuj Bhojwani explaining NPNT at the DigitalSky RoundTable on 4 Dec 2018 in Bengaluru

What this implies is that unless a drone has got valid permission for a particular flight through tamper-proof digitally signed permission tokens, it will not be able to take off. The Digital Sky is the platform to automate the processing of these permission tokens as they flow in from different parts of the country without overwhelming the authorities through a flight information management system (one of only three countries to build this nationally after China and the USA). In order for this vision to come true, there will be an enormous change in the way drones are manufactured and operated. Entire new industry verticals around getting existing drones compliant, developing interfaces that interact with the Digital Sky platform and making applications for India’s needs will develop. Hence this begs the question.

How are the current state of the industry are changing with 1.0 regulations

Until the introduction of the regulations companies especially in the UAV operations were doing non-restricted work and end up becoming the jack-of-all-trades. Companies in the manufacturing domain were unclear of who is their target customer and what they needed to build. All the companies in this domain were working with no clarity on the safety and permissions.

With the introduction of the Drone Policy 1.0, there is a buzz which has been created and efforts are being made to understand the regulations by all the entities who are set to gain from it. They understand that there will be a new aspect that needs to cater to i.e. the sense of accountability.

For manufacturer’s The NP-NT mandate will be the most immediate requirement, the most common route to implement the mandate will be through changes to existing firmware architecture. The changes themselves are being driven by open source initiatives with various operators, system integrators and manufacturers contributing to the shift to NP-NT for all major drone platforms in the country. The Digital Sky has inadvertently catalysed the first industry-wide initiative to bring together all members of the ecosystem. Other requirements such as ETA bring in much-needed standardisation in the hardware space, this allows benchmarking of products, easier availability of information about the standards to look out for end users.

For operators, a massive increase in the volume of business is expected as they can now focus on getting certified drones into the air, and not so much on getting approvals. The Digital Sky brings in much-needed certainty and predictability into an industry that will be focused on balancing demand and supply of drone-related operations in a market that has a huge need for drones and their data but limited expertise to acquire and process it. This also puts onus an industry to become security and privacy conscious and insurance agencies will play an important role in this regard. It will also immensely help in changing the thought process of the companies providing services and their customers. Customers will start understanding that they also need to have a defined plan, process and execution instead of a haphazard existing process of execution.

How industry/playground will change over the coming years?

With the introduction on the regulations and a platform like Digital sky enabling the ease of doing business for the companies who are serious stakeholders in this domain, there is no limit to what developments will occur in the coming years. It opens up possibilities for utilization of Drone and its related technologies in Agriculture, Medical, Energy and Infrastructure and transportation.

The existing players will become more mature and more focused. They will understand that with regulations in place a more focused approach is the key to scale. They will look at opportunities to compete with the global market also as the solutions that are developed around the Drone Regulations 1.0 and 2.0 will be key factors that contribute to the Indian ecosystem to becoming a global standard to test, adapt and innovate drone applications and management.

What are the opportunities? What does that mean for the current and new players?

UAV/ Drones as a business was a far-fetched thought for many entrepreneurs and has been a struggling industry in the past in India. Going forward it is guaranteed that it will be one of the biggest markets in the world for UAV as a business. What the regulations and Digital Sky platform will enable is a new levelled playground ground for the UAV companies to initiate good scalable business models both existing and the ones entering new to the sector.

The existing companies with the right resources can now plan to scale their operations and also have the added advantage of doing work for the private sector in India. Due to the restrictive method of operations adapted previously the solutions to private agencies was unavailable. Now going forward the companies will shift their focus from being a B2G entity to a B2B entity. Many new businesses for UAV air traffic management, surveillance, AI and ML-based UAV solutions and deliveries will emerge out of India with technology specific to India.

If you want to join our future roundtable sessions on Digital Sky and more, please register your interest here.

The blog is co-authored by Anurag A Joshi from INDrone Aero systems, Abhiroop Bhatnagar from Algopixel Technologies and Gokul Kumaravelu from Skylark Drones